Conference Programme 

Wednesday
November 2 - 2005

08h30 Opening of Secretariat

09h00-12h30 TOPIC 1 “Social-Economic Impact on Communities Exposed to Earthquakes and Tsunamis”

Conveners:
Prof. Jose Manuel Mendes - Faculdade de Economia, University of Coimbra,
Portugal
Prof. Haresh C. Shah - Stanford University, USA

09h00-09h05 Opening Presentation - Prof. José Oliveira Mendes

09h05-09h25 Special Lecture
The Last Mile - Earthquake Risk Mitigation Assistance in Developing
Countries
Prof. Haresh C. Shah, Stanford University, USA

09h25-09h45 Invited Lecture
A Repeat of the 1755 Earthquake Today: Losses and Economic Impacts
Dr. R. Muir-Wood , Risk Management Solutions, London, United Kingdom

Oral Presentations
(Topic 4)
09h45-10h00 In-situ Assessment, Monitoring and Typification af Buildings and Infrastructure
R. Flesch, M. Ralbousky, M. Eusebio, E. Coelho, B. Hoffmeister, R. Veit

10h00-10h15 The 1755 Lisbon Earthquake and the Genesis of the Risk Management
Concept
A.Betâmio de Almeida

10h15-10h30 Vulnerability and Resilience in Disaster Knowledge and Response: Lessons
from the 1755 Lisbon Earthquake and the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami
F. Pedrosa, R. Richards

10h30-11h00 Coffee Break

11h00-11h15 Earthquakes and the coming of age of a scientific attitude in Portugal
(1755-1791)
Francisco Vaz

11h15-11h30 A system indicators for Disaster Risk Management in the Americas
O. D. Cardona

11h30-11h45 Seismic risk evaluation for an urban center
M.L. Carreño, O.D. Cardona, A.H. Barbat

11h45-12h00 ”Knowledge & Practice”; Educational Activities for Reduction of Earthquake
impact: The Edurisk Project
R. Camassi, R. Azzaro, V. Castelli, F. La Longa, V. Pessina, L. Peruzza

12h00-12h15 Related keys in disaster management and diminution in social-economic
impact on communities vulnerable to earthquakes and tsunami: example of
Guadeloupe island a French overseas department
De, M. Lubino-Bissainte

12h30-14h00 Lunch - Poster Sessions (Topics 1 and 2)

14h00-17h30 TOPIC 2 “Urban planning facing natural hazards, information and warning”

Conveners:
Prof. Carlos Sousa Oliveira - Sociedade Portuguesa de Engenharia Sísmica,
Instituto Superior Técnico, Portugal
Prof. Friedemann Wenzel - Geophysical Institute, Karlsruhe University, Germany

14h00-14h05 Opening Presentation - Prof. Carlos Sousa Oliveira

14h05-14h25 Special Lecture
Displacement based methods to predict earthquake damage at variable geographical scales.
Prof. Michele Calvi¹, G. Magenes¹, R. Pinto², Italy
¹University of Pavia, Italy, ²Eucentre, Pavia, Italy

14h25-14h45 Invited Lecture
Risk Estimates and Risk Mitigation in Megacities
Prof. Friedemann Wenzel¹, F. Bendimerad², L. Stempniewski^3
1Geophysical Institute, Karlsruhe University, Germany, ²Risk Management
Solutions Inc. Newark, Usa, ³Institute of Reinforced-Concrete Structures
and Building Materials, University of Karlsruhe, Germany

Oral Presentations

14h45-15h00 Simulating Earthquake Scenarios Using Finite-fault Model for The
Metropolitan Area of Lisbon (MAL)
G. Zonno, A. Carvalho, G. Franceschina, A Akinci, A. Campos Costa,
E. Coelho,G. Cultrera, , F. Pacor, V. Pessina, M. Cocco

15h00-15h15 Application of two different vulnerability Methodologies to Assess Seismic
Scenarios in Lisbon
C. S. Oliveira, F. Mota de Sá, M. A. Ferreira

15h15-15h30 The Disaster Management Tool - Concepts and First Training Experiences
M. Markus, F. Fiedrich, F. Gehbauer, H. Engelmann, J. Leebmann,
C. Schweier, E. Steinle

15h30-16h00 Coffee Break

16h00-16h15 Earthquake vulnerabilities along the Portuguese coastline
S. Matos

16h15-16h30 Earthquake damage and Casualty assessment for Instanbul Metropolitan
Area
M.O. Erdik, N.M. Aydinoglu, Y. Fahjan, E. Durukal, K. Sesetyan, M.B.
Demircioglu, B. Siyahi

16h30-16h45 Earthquake Early Warning - Real-time prediction of ground motion from
the first seconds of seismic recordings
M. Böse, M. Erdik, F. Wenzel

16h45-17h00 Risk mapping and disaster scenarios development for urban seismo-prone
areas of Russia
Mark Klyachko, ValeryLarionov, Sergey Sutshev

17h00-17h15 New Media in Realistic Disaster Scenarios
H.P. Bähr

17h15-17h30 Prognostic estimations facing seismic risk levels in Spain in urban nuclei
J. Badal, M. Vázquez-Prada, A. González, Z. Zhang

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